What if we adapted scenario planning concepts to crime and intelligence analysis in policing?
Scenario Planning
"Scenario planning or scenario thinking is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. It is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence.
The basic method is that a group of analysts generate simulation games for policy makers. The games combine known facts about the future, such as demographics, geography, military, political, industrial information, and mineral reserves, with plausible alternative social, technical, economic, environmental, educational, political and aesthetic (STEEEPA) trends which are key driving forces."
Here is a resource for thinking about scenario planning:
Plotting Your Scenarios - An Introduction to the Art and Process of Scenario Planning
"What If" is a good way of describing scenario planning because those are the type of scenarios being examined in this process.
ReplyDeleteI also read this article on scenario planning.
http://www.coursework4you.co.uk/scenario.htm